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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

23-24  |  Road

14
FINAL
Tue, May 19 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

17-31  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
@
Ryan Johnson
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Johnson

#32 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Hogan Harris None-None 3.13 -- 1.0 1
Ryan Johnson None-None 15.12 -- 2.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.13 Ldr ERA 15.12
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
📊
ANGELS
0%
ATHLETICS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

40.1%

Angels Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

ATH By 1-2 runs

16.3%

ATH By 3-4 runs

10.6%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
ATHLETICS
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Angels (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim u9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719 ▲
OPS
.679
194 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +120.9% more
Los Angeles: 5.1 vs Athletics: 2.3
Hits (L5) +37.7% more
Athletics: 7.2 vs Los Angeles: 4.5
Errors (L5) +35.8% more
Athletics: 1.2 vs Los Angeles: 0.8
Total Bases (L5) +30.5% more
Athletics: 10.2 vs Los Angeles: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 4.0 14
LAA Score 5.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 1.2 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 4.5 / 7.2 10.0 / 15.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 0.5 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 7.9 9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 7.1 / 10.2 17.0 / 25.0
Walks 5.1 / 2.3 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATH
LAA
ATH
ML
59% 96-66
59% 95-67
55% 89-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-65
52% 84-78
51% 82-80
50% 81-80
TTL
53% 83-74-5
54% 84-73-5
52% 82-75-5
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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