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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

23-23  |  Road

1
FINAL
Mon, May 18 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

16-31  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
J.T. Ginn
STARTING PITCHER

J.T. Ginn

#35 | Starting Pitcher
@
Sam Bachman
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Bachman

#40 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
J.T. Ginn None-None 2.98 -- 8.0 10
Sam Bachman None-None 2.82 -- 2.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
2.98 ERA Ldr 2.82
-- WHIP --
8.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 2.0
10 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
📊
ANGELS
100%
ATHLETICS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Athletics)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

69.1%

Angels Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

18.4%

LAA By 1-2 runs

13.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
6
ATHLETICS
4
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
7
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Athletics Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Athletics (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Angels (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim o9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719 ▲
OPS
.679
194 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +63.3% more
Athletics: 1.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Home Runs (L5) +54.0% more
Athletics: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.3
Total Bases (L5) +28.1% more
Athletics: 11.3 vs Los Angeles: 8.1
Hits (L5) +21.3% more
Athletics: 7.3 vs Los Angeles: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 6.0 1
LAA Score 4.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 1.8 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 5.7 / 7.3 2.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 0.8 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.7 / 6.8 6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 8.1 / 11.3 5.0 / 8.0
Walks 5.6 / 3.0 4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATH
LAA
ATH
ML
59% 96-66
59% 95-67
55% 89-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-65
52% 84-78
51% 82-80
50% 81-80
TTL
53% 83-74-5
54% 84-73-5
52% 82-75-5
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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