MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
26-17 | Road
4
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
20-26 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Taylor Rogers
#55 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 3.20 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
| Taylor Rogers | None-None | 4.00 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.20 Ldr
ERA
4.00
--
WHIP
--
1.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
100%
TWINS
0%
BREWERS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
14.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIL By 1-2 runs
13.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
7.8%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIN By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
6
MILWAUKEE
Minnesota
8
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 14.0
D
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
MIN @ MIL
3 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
MIN @ MIL
3 - 4
Aug 7, 2026
MIN @ MIL
8 - 6
May 17, 2026
MIL @ MIN
4 - 5
May 16, 2026
MIL @ MIN
2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.743
▲
OPS
.720
154
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+53.4% more
Minnesota: 2.9
vs
Milwaukee: 1.9
Errors (L5)
+42.0% more
Minnesota: 0.8
vs
Milwaukee: 0.4
Home Runs (L5)
+28.0% more
Minnesota: 0.8
vs
Milwaukee: 0.5
Home Runs (Season)
+21.4% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Milwaukee: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
6.0
4
MIN Score
8.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.4
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.7 / 7.7
6.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 0.5
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 9.8
5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
12.3 / 11.1
13.0 / 19.0
Walks
2.9 / 1.9
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
MIL
MIN
MIL
ML
52%
84-78
62%
101-61
50%
80-81
52%
84-78
ATS
59%
95-67
58%
94-68
59%
95-66
48%
78-84
TTL
51%
78-75-9
40%
62-92-8
53%
80-72-9
50%
77-77-8
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