Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Angels LAD @ LAA

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

28-18  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sun, May 17 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

16-30  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Alex Vesia
STARTING PITCHER

Alex Vesia

#51 | Relief Pitcher
@
Ryan Johnson
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Johnson

#32 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Alex Vesia None-None 2.76 -- 1.0 2
Ryan Johnson None-None 12.79 -- 2.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
2.76 Ldr ERA 12.79
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
2 K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
0%
📊
ANGELS
100%
DODGERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

77.3%

Angels Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.4%

LAD By 3-4 runs

19.6%

LAA By 1-2 runs

10.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
7
LOS ANGELES
4
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim Angels (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.5 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim o9.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 LAA @ LAD 13 - 5
Jun 6, 2026 LAA @ LAD 2 - 9
Jun 5, 2026 LAA @ LAD 0 - 1
May 17, 2026 LAD @ LAA 10 - 1
May 16, 2026 LAD @ LAA 15 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.762 ▲
OPS
.679
204 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +72.9% more
Los Angeles: 1.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +38.9% more
Los Angeles: 15.0 vs Los Angeles: 9.2
Hits (L5) +27.5% more
Los Angeles: 8.4 vs Los Angeles: 6.1
Home Runs (Season) +24.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 7.0 10
LAA Score 4.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.1 / 8.4 5.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 0.4 / 1.6 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.5 / 9.1 11.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 9.2 / 15.0 6.0 / 12.0
Walks 5.4 / 3.4 6.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
LAD
LAA
LAD
ML
59% 96-66
56% 92-73
55% 89-73
48% 79-87
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 98-67
51% 82-80
43% 72-94
TTL
53% 83-74-5
48% 77-82-6
52% 82-75-5
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 2 hours, 30 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 8 hours, 20 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 14 hours, 26 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 20 hours, 30 minutes ago
Alex Cora Joins Growing List of Unavailable Managers for Seattle…
si 1 day, 8 hours ago