CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
29-17 | Road
8
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
23-22 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Rolison
#33 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Hudson
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rolison | None-None | 4.38 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Bryan Hudson | None-None | 1.64 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.38
ERA
Ldr 1.64
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
0%
WHITE SOX
100%
CUBS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
CHC By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHC By 3-4 runs
18.4%
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cubs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cubs (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
White Sox (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 19, 2026
CHW @ CHC
3 - 0
Aug 18, 2026
CHW @ CHC
3 - 4
Aug 17, 2026
CHW @ CHC
5 - 7
May 17, 2026
CHC @ CHW
8 - 9
May 16, 2026
CHC @ CHW
3 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Chicago
CHW
2
▲
Games Played
1
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.374
OPS
▲
.826
0
Home Runs
▲
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+550.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Home Runs (L5)
+203.0% more
Chicago: 3.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Walks (L5)
+48.7% more
Chicago: 3.5
vs
Chicago: 2.3
Total Bases (L5)
+48.1% more
Chicago: 18.5
vs
Chicago: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
5.0
8
CHW Score
3.0
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.0
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.1 / 7.9
12.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
3.0 / 1.0
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 7.0
6.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
18.5 / 12.5
21.0 / 16.0
Walks
3.5 / 2.3
9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
Advantage
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
CHC
CHW
CHC
ML
48%
81-87
58%
93-68
56%
94-74
51%
82-79
ATS
59%
99-69
61%
97-63-1
55%
93-75
47%
75-85-1
TTL
58%
97-69-2
52%
81-74-6
51%
85-81-2
46%
72-83-6
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox