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LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

27-18  |  Road

15
FINAL
Sat, May 16 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

16-29  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Justin Wrobleski
STARTING PITCHER

Justin Wrobleski

#70 | Starting Pitcher
@
Jose Fermin
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Fermin

#65 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Justin Wrobleski None-None 2.49 -- 6.0 5
Jose Fermin None-None 4.15 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.49 Ldr ERA 4.15
-- WHIP --
6.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
5 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
100%
📊
ANGELS
0%
DODGERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

40.1%

Angels Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.6%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Angels (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim u8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 LAA @ LAD 13 - 5
Jun 6, 2026 LAA @ LAD 2 - 9
Jun 5, 2026 LAA @ LAD 0 - 1
May 17, 2026 LAD @ LAA 10 - 1
May 16, 2026 LAD @ LAA 15 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.762 ▲
OPS
.679
204 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +29.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.2
Walks (L5) +19.3% more
Los Angeles: 3.6 vs Los Angeles: 3.1
Home Runs (L5) +65.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.6
Total Bases (L5) +43.1% more
Los Angeles: 14.6 vs Los Angeles: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 4.0 15
LAA Score 5.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.2 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 5.1 / 7.6 8.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 1.8 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.8 / 10.1 9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 8.3 / 14.6 11.0 / 16.0
Walks 3.6 / 3.1 9.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
LAD
LAA
LAD
ML
59% 96-66
56% 92-73
55% 89-73
48% 79-87
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 98-67
51% 82-80
43% 72-94
TTL
53% 83-74-5
48% 77-82-6
52% 82-75-5
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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