SAN DIEGO
PADRESSD
25-17 | Road
1
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
23-17 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Yuki Matsui
#1 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Matsui | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 3.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
3.00
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
PADRES
100%
BREWERS
0%
PADRES
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
SD By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SD By 3-4 runs
10.6%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
San Diego
2
SAN DIEGO
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
San Diego
4
SAN DIEGO
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
MIL @ SD
3 - 1
Oct 6, 2026
MIL @ SD
3 - 4
Oct 4, 2026
SD @ MIL
3 - 4
Oct 3, 2026
SD @ MIL
2 - 3
Aug 12, 2026
MIL @ SD
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Diego
SD
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
2
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
5.14
.328
▲
Avg (AVG)
.258
.362
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.341
.563
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.925
▲
OPS
.743
4
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+3750.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
San Diego: 4.0
Hits (L5)
+48.1% more
Milwaukee: 8.6
vs
San Diego: 5.8
Walks (L5)
+48.0% more
Milwaukee: 3.0
vs
San Diego: 2.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+48.0% more
Milwaukee: 12.3
vs
San Diego: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SD Score
2.0
1
MIL Score
3.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.1
1.0 / 2.0
Hits
8.6 / 5.8
10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
12.3 / 8.3
10.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
11.6 / 9.5
15.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.0 / 2.0
3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SD
94-74-0
(56.0%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SD
Advantage
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SD
78-85-5
O: 47.9% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
SD
MIL
SD
ML
62%
101-61
51%
85-83
52%
84-78
51%
85-82
ATS
58%
94-68
54%
91-77
48%
78-84
55%
92-75
TTL
40%
62-92-8
51%
82-80-6
50%
77-77-8
54%
86-74-6
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