SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
21-22 | Road
3
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
16-27 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Abreu
#52 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 5.29 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
| Bryan Abreu | None-None | 8.56 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.29 Ldr
ERA
8.56
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
ASTROS
0%
MARINERS
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around HOU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
10.6%
HOU By 1-2 runs
19.6%
HOU By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Houston
7
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Houston
4
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Astros
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Astros (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Astros (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 13.0
D
Sim
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 23, 2026
HOU @ SEA
5 - 6
Sep 22, 2026
HOU @ SEA
7 - 0
Aug 16, 2026
SEA @ HOU
3 - 2
Aug 15, 2026
SEA @ HOU
10 - 5
Aug 14, 2026
SEA @ HOU
7 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.10
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.233
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.314
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.379
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.693
▲
OPS
.582
182
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+57.0% more
Houston: 3.9
vs
Seattle: 2.5
Errors (L5)
+21.0% more
Houston: 0.2
vs
Seattle: 0.0
Home Runs (Season)
+97.8% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Home Runs (L5)
+60.0% more
Seattle: 1.3
vs
Houston: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
6.0
3
HOU Score
7.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.0
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.2 / 8.3
12.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.3
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.2 / 11.1
11.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
9.0 / 13.5
16.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.9 / 2.5
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
SEA
HOU
SEA
ML
50%
81-82
50%
81-81
47%
77-87
52%
85-77
ATS
56%
91-72
60%
98-64
55%
90-74
59%
95-67
TTL
45%
70-84-9
56%
85-67-10
45%
69-86-9
53%
81-71-10
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