LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
16-26 | Road
2
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
22-21 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Fermin
#65 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cade Smith
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Fermin | None-None | 4.70 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Cade Smith | None-None | 3.20 | -- | 1.1 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.70
ERA
Ldr 3.20
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
GUARDIANS
100%
ANGELS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
CLE By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CLE By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Angels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
CLE @ LAA
4 - 3
Aug 25, 2026
CLE @ LAA
8 - 6
Aug 24, 2026
CLE @ LAA
4 - 2
May 13, 2026
LAA @ CLE
2 - 4
May 12, 2026
LAA @ CLE
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.19
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.380
.679
OPS
▲
.696
154
Home Runs
▲
162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+64.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9
vs
Cleveland: 0.3
Walks (L5)
+46.5% more
Los Angeles: 5.4
vs
Cleveland: 2.9
Total Bases (L5)
+23.9% more
Los Angeles: 12.9
vs
Cleveland: 9.9
Errors (L5)
+16.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.4
vs
Cleveland: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
4.0
2
CLE Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.4
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.4 / 8.1
4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.9 / 6.4
13.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
9.9 / 12.9
7.0 / 15.0
Walks
2.9 / 5.4
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
LAA
CLE
LAA
ML
54%
87-74
59%
96-66
49%
80-82
55%
89-73
ATS
58%
93-68
60%
97-65
59%
95-67
51%
82-80
TTL
55%
88-71-2
53%
83-74-5
43%
69-90-2
52%
82-75-5
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