SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
19-22 | Road
3
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
16-25 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan King
#74 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 5.63 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Bryan King | None-None | 3.24 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.63
ERA
Ldr 3.24
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
ASTROS
0%
MARINERS
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around HOU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
SEA By 1-2 runs
13.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
7.8%
HOU By 1-2 runs
19.6%
HOU By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Houston
4
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Astros
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Astros (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Astros (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 23, 2026
HOU @ SEA
5 - 6
Sep 22, 2026
HOU @ SEA
7 - 0
Aug 16, 2026
SEA @ HOU
3 - 2
Aug 15, 2026
SEA @ HOU
10 - 5
Aug 14, 2026
SEA @ HOU
7 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.10
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.233
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.314
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.379
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.693
▲
OPS
.582
182
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+103.7% more
Houston: 3.9
vs
Seattle: 1.9
Errors (L5)
+46.0% more
Houston: 0.5
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Home Runs (L5)
+24.0% more
Houston: 1.2
vs
Seattle: 0.9
Home Runs (Season)
+97.8% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
3.0
3
HOU Score
5.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.8 / 7.0
9.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 9.6
7.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
10.5 / 11.2
9.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.9 / 1.9
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
SEA
HOU
SEA
ML
50%
81-82
50%
81-81
47%
77-87
52%
85-77
ATS
56%
91-72
60%
98-64
55%
90-74
59%
95-67
TTL
45%
70-84-9
56%
85-67-10
45%
69-86-9
53%
81-71-10
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