ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
19-20 | Road
1
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
19-21 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Taylor Clarke
#45 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Alexander
#13 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Clarke | None-None | 2.33 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Tyler Alexander | None-None | 2.25 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.33
ERA
Ldr 2.25
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
100%
RANGERS
0%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
ARI By 1-2 runs
13.6%
ARI By 3-4 runs
7.8%
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TEX By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
4
ARIZONA
Texas
6
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Arizona
3
ARIZONA
Texas
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
TEX @ ARI
7 - 6
Sep 12, 2026
TEX @ ARI
6 - 2
Sep 11, 2026
TEX @ ARI
1 - 9
May 13, 2026
ARI @ TEX
5 - 6
May 12, 2026
ARI @ TEX
4 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.318
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.720
▲
OPS
.713
166
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+69.0% more
Texas: 1.1
vs
Arizona: 0.4
Errors (L5)
+51.0% more
Texas: 0.6
vs
Arizona: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+28.5% more
Texas: 8.8
vs
Arizona: 6.9
Total Bases (L5)
+28.3% more
Texas: 10.9
vs
Arizona: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
4.0
1
TEX Score
6.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.8 / 5.4
4.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 6.9
8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
10.9 / 8.5
4.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.2 / 3.1
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
ARI
TEX
ARI
ML
53%
86-76
54%
87-74
57%
91-70
54%
86-74
ATS
57%
92-70
57%
91-70
61%
98-63
56%
89-71
TTL
53%
78-70-14
52%
80-73-8
55%
81-66-14
49%
73-77-9
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