NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
26-14 | Road
3
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
21-16 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
David Bednar
#53 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Abner Uribe
#45 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | None-None | 3.71 | -- | 0.2 | 2 |
| Abner Uribe | None-None | 3.77 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.71 Ldr
ERA
3.77
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
100%
BREWERS
0%
YANKEES
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
NYY By 1-2 runs
16.3%
NYY By 3-4 runs
10.6%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
6
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 10, 2026
NYY @ MIL
3 - 4
May 9, 2026
NYY @ MIL
3 - 4
May 8, 2026
NYY @ MIL
0 - 6
Mar 30, 2025
MIL @ NYY
3 - 12
Mar 29, 2025
MIL @ NYY
9 - 20
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
5.14
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.258
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.341
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
1.041
▲
OPS
.743
2
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+7600.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
New York: 2.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+55.9% more
Milwaukee: 12.2
vs
New York: 7.9
Walks (L5)
+16.0% more
Milwaukee: 4.2
vs
New York: 3.6
Hits (L5)
+8.5% more
Milwaukee: 8.0
vs
New York: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
5.0
3
MIL Score
6.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.4
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.0 / 7.4
5.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
12.2 / 7.9
10.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
11.1 / 12.1
8.0 / 11.0
Walks
4.2 / 3.6
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
NYY
MIL
NYY
ML
62%
101-61
47%
76-85
52%
84-78
52%
85-77
ATS
58%
94-68
59%
95-66
48%
78-84
53%
86-76
TTL
40%
62-92-8
53%
81-73-7
50%
77-77-8
53%
82-72-7
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