ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
24-10 | Road
11
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
14-20 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reynaldo Lopez
#40 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jimmy Herget
#44 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez | None-None | 3.28 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Jimmy Herget | None-None | 4.50 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.28 Ldr
ERA
4.50
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
ROCKIES
0%
BRAVES
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
ATL By 1-2 runs
13.6%
ATL By 3-4 runs
7.8%
COL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Atlanta
3
ATLANTA
Colorado
7
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockies (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Rockies (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
o9.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
COL @ ATL
2 - 3
Aug 29, 2026
COL @ ATL
1 - 2
Aug 28, 2026
COL @ ATL
4 - 6
May 3, 2026
ATL @ COL
11 - 6
May 2, 2026
ATL @ COL
9 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Colorado
COL
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.324
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.757
▲
OPS
.739
1
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+17900.0% more
Colorado: 180.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+14.0% more
Colorado: 0.7
vs
Atlanta: 0.5
Batting Avg (Season)
+2.1%
Colorado: 25.4%
vs
Atlanta: 23.3%
Home Runs (L5)
+63.0% more
Atlanta: 1.9
vs
Colorado: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
4.0
11
COL Score
6.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.9 / 9.7
11.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.9
3.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 9.7
9.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 17.9
22.0 / 25.0
Walks
3.6 / 4.2
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
ATL
COL
ATL
ML
60%
97-64
46%
77-90
55%
88-73
54%
90-78
ATS
60%
97-64
57%
96-71
52%
83-78
52%
87-81
TTL
60%
93-62-6
53%
83-73-11
50%
77-78-6
49%
76-80-11
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