ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
14-13 | Road
2
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
14-13 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Peyton Gray
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Perkins | None-None | 3.18 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
| Peyton Gray | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.18
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
RANGERS
0%
ATHLETICS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
ATH By 1-2 runs
13.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
7.8%
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TEX By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Texas
5
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Athletics
7
ATHLETICS
Texas
3
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Athletics (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
ATH @ TEX
9 - 2
Sep 1, 2026
ATH @ TEX
5 - 8
Aug 31, 2026
ATH @ TEX
1 - 8
Aug 16, 2026
TEX @ ATH
2 - 5
Aug 15, 2026
TEX @ ATH
5 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.719
▲
OPS
.713
194
▲
Home Runs
183
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+69.0% more
Texas: 0.7
vs
Athletics: 0.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+31.6% more
Texas: 8.8
vs
Athletics: 6.7
Walks (L5)
+13.6% more
Texas: 2.3
vs
Athletics: 2.1
Home Runs (L5)
+53.6% more
Athletics: 1.8
vs
Texas: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.0
2
TEX Score
5.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.0
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.1 / 8.7
6.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.8
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 6.7
5.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
11.0 / 15.7
8.0 / 14.0
Walks
2.3 / 2.1
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
ATH
TEX
ATH
ML
53%
86-76
59%
95-67
57%
91-70
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
92-70
52%
84-78
61%
98-63
50%
81-80
TTL
53%
78-70-14
54%
84-73-5
55%
81-66-14
42%
66-90-5
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