BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
56-26 | Road
128
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
45-37 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
76ERS
100%
CELTICS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
13.7%
BOS By 8-14 points
24.3%
PHI By 1-7 points
4.0%
PHI By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
113
BOSTON
Philadelphia
97
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Boston
108
BOSTON
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (+7)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u213.5
Loss
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u213.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 2, 2026
PHI @ BOS
109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026
BOS @ PHI
93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026
PHI @ BOS
113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026
BOS @ PHI
128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026
BOS @ PHI
108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+22.9% more
Boston: 24.8
vs
Philadelphia: 19.2
Turnovers (L5)
+19.1% more
Boston: 14.3
vs
Philadelphia: 11.6
Blocks (L5)
+15.6% more
Boston: 6.3
vs
Philadelphia: 5.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.8%
Boston: 85.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 71.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
113.0
128
PHI Score
97.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 37.5
30.0 / 45.0
Assists
19.2 / 24.8
25.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.3 / 6.3
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 44.8
41.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 85.7
88.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
41.0 / 45.8
30.0 / 51.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.1
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 14.3
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
BOS
PHI
BOS
ML
63%
69-40
57%
61-46
48%
45-48
53%
47-41
ATS
65%
71-38
59%
61-43-3
48%
45-48
53%
47-41
TTL
55%
60-49
56%
60-47
100%
93-0
100%
88-0
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