ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
13-12 | Road
8
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
13-12 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Luis Medina
#46 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cal Quantrill
#44 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Medina | None-None | 2.70 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Cal Quantrill | None-None | 6.43 | -- | 3.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.70 Ldr
ERA
6.43
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 3.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
RANGERS
100%
ATHLETICS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
16.3%
TEX By 1-2 runs
16.3%
TEX By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Texas
5
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Texas
6
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
ATH @ TEX
9 - 2
Sep 1, 2026
ATH @ TEX
5 - 8
Aug 31, 2026
ATH @ TEX
1 - 8
Aug 16, 2026
TEX @ ATH
2 - 5
Aug 15, 2026
TEX @ ATH
5 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.719
▲
OPS
.713
194
▲
Home Runs
183
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+27.0% more
Athletics: 1.5
vs
Texas: 1.1
Total Bases (L5)
+17.2% more
Athletics: 16.6
vs
Texas: 13.7
Hits (L5)
+16.4% more
Athletics: 9.9
vs
Texas: 8.3
Home Runs (Season)
+5.7% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Texas: 183.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
6.0
8
TEX Score
5.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 9.9
8.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.5
0.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts
9.9 / 7.9
5.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
13.7 / 16.6
10.0 / 24.0
Walks
2.5 / 2.6
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
ATH
TEX
ATH
ML
53%
86-76
59%
95-67
57%
91-70
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
92-70
52%
84-78
61%
98-63
50%
81-80
TTL
53%
78-70-14
54%
84-73-5
55%
81-66-14
42%
66-90-5
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