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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

55-16-11  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Apr 23 • 10:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

35-27-20  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
AVALANCHE --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Colorado)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

93.3%

Kings Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

COL By 1 goal

12.1%

COL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

LA By 1 goal

2.8%

LA By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
COLORADO
1
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
COLORADO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Avalanche Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Avalanche (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 30, 2026 LA @ COL 4 - 8
Apr 26, 2026 COL @ LA 5 - 1
Apr 23, 2026 COL @ LA 4 - 2
Apr 19, 2026 LA @ COL 1 - 2
Mar 2, 2026 COL @ LA 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +15.4% more
Colorado: 30.8 vs Los Angeles: 26.0
Takeaways (L5) +14.9% more
Colorado: 4.8 vs Los Angeles: 4.1
Faceoff % (L5) +6.8%
Colorado: 53.4% vs Los Angeles: 46.6%
Power Play % (L5) +47.8%
Los Angeles: 48.3% vs Colorado: 0.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 4.0 4
LA Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
67%MONEY33%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
COL
LA
COL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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