MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
13-9 | Road
2
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
12-12 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Chad Patrick
#39 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kenley Jansen
#74 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Patrick | None-None | 2.35 | -- | 4.0 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | None-None | 1.35 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.35
ERA
Ldr 1.35
--
WHIP
--
4.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
100%
TIGERS
0%
BREWERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
MIL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
10.6%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 23, 2026
MIL @ DET
4 - 5
Apr 22, 2026
MIL @ DET
2 - 5
Apr 21, 2026
MIL @ DET
12 - 4
Apr 16, 2025
DET @ MIL
1 - 5
Apr 15, 2025
DET @ MIL
0 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.743
▲
OPS
.720
154
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+21.0% more
Detroit: 0.5
vs
Milwaukee: 0.3
Home Runs (Season)
+17.5% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Milwaukee: 154.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+15.0% more
Milwaukee: 8.8
vs
Detroit: 7.5
Errors (L5)
+14.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.8
vs
Detroit: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.0
2
DET Score
6.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.3 / 9.6
9.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.3
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 8.8
9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
13.4 / 13.2
17.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.9 / 3.9
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIL
DET
MIL
ML
54%
86-73
62%
101-61
54%
87-73
52%
84-78
ATS
64%
101-58
58%
94-68
57%
91-69
48%
78-84
TTL
46%
69-81-9
40%
62-92-8
46%
69-81-10
50%
77-77-8
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