Home / MLB Projections MLB / White Sox @ Athletics CHW @ ATH

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

7-13  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Apr 18 • 4:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

10-10  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Jordan Hicks
STARTING PITCHER

Jordan Hicks

#44 | Relief Pitcher
@
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jordan Hicks None-None 4.91 -- 1.0 --
Hogan Harris None-None 2.84 -- 1.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
4.91 ERA Ldr 2.84
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.1
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
📊
ATHLETICS
0%
WHITE SOX --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Athletics)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

40.1%

Athletics Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

CHW By 1-2 runs

16.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

10.6%

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
CHICAGO
6
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
4
CHICAGO
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Athletics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Athletics (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Athletics (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.0 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 12, 2026 ATH @ CHW 1 - 9
Jul 11, 2026 ATH @ CHW 0 - 1
Jul 10, 2026 ATH @ CHW 1 - 14
Apr 19, 2026 CHW @ ATH 7 - 4
Apr 18, 2026 CHW @ ATH 6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Athletics ATH
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.826 ▲
OPS
.719
1
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +19300.0% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5) +33.2% more
Athletics: 9.1 vs Chicago: 6.8
Errors (L5) +17.0% more
Athletics: 0.6 vs Chicago: 0.4
Home Runs (L5) +54.5% more
Chicago: 1.1 vs Athletics: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 5.0 6
ATH Score 6.0 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.1 / 9.4 10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 1.1 2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 6.8 7.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 10.6 / 15.1 19.0 / 19.0
Walks 5.0 / 5.0 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
CHW
ATH
CHW
ML
59% 95-67
49% 81-86
54% 87-74
56% 94-73
ATS
52% 84-78
59% 99-68
50% 81-80
56% 93-74
TTL
54% 84-73-5
58% 96-69-2
42% 66-90-5
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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