CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
6-13 | Road
9
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
10-9 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Elvis Alvarado
#37 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | None-None | 2.16 | -- | 7.0 | 4 |
| Elvis Alvarado | None-None | 8.38 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.16 Ldr
ERA
8.38
--
WHIP
--
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
2.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
0%
ATHLETICS
100%
WHITE SOX
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
16.3%
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Athletics (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim
White Sox (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 12, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 9
Jul 11, 2026
ATH @ CHW
0 - 1
Jul 10, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 14
Apr 19, 2026
CHW @ ATH
7 - 4
Apr 18, 2026
CHW @ ATH
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Athletics
ATH
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.826
▲
OPS
.719
1
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+35.0% more
Chicago: 1.2
vs
Athletics: 0.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+28.2% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Athletics: 4.3
Errors (L5)
+25.0% more
Chicago: 0.6
vs
Athletics: 0.4
OPS (Season)
+10.7%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Athletics: 71.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.0
9
ATH Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.7 / 6.5
4.0 / 15.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 7.7
11.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
12.9 / 11.7
6.0 / 22.0
Walks
5.5 / 5.4
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
CHW
ATH
CHW
ML
59%
95-67
49%
81-86
54%
87-74
56%
94-73
ATS
52%
84-78
59%
99-68
50%
81-80
56%
93-74
TTL
54%
84-73-5
58%
96-69-2
42%
66-90-5
51%
84-81-2
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