PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
45-37 | Road
91
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
56-26 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
CELTICS
100%
76ERS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
PHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
BOS By 1-7 points
24.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
107
PHILADELPHIA
Boston
106
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Boston
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+13)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u215.5
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim
u215.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 2, 2026
PHI @ BOS
109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026
BOS @ PHI
93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026
PHI @ BOS
113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026
BOS @ PHI
128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026
BOS @ PHI
108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+19.9% more
Philadelphia: 9.9
vs
Boston: 7.9
Blocks (L5)
+19.7% more
Philadelphia: 5.4
vs
Boston: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+27.9% more
Boston: 26.7
vs
Philadelphia: 20.9
Turnovers (L5)
+15.6% more
Boston: 14.4
vs
Philadelphia: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
107.0
91
BOS Score
106.0
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.6 / 32.6
36.0 / 17.0
Assists
26.7 / 20.9
31.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.4
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 45.9
50.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
86.4 / 80.0
77.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 45.2
43.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.9 / 9.9
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 12.4
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHI
BOS
PHI
ML
57%
61-46
63%
69-40
53%
47-41
48%
45-48
ATS
59%
61-43-3
65%
71-38
53%
47-41
48%
45-48
TTL
56%
60-47
55%
60-49
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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