ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
8-6 | Road
4
BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
6-7 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Thompson
#81 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Yennier Cano
#78 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Thompson | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Yennier Cano | None-None | 1.69 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
1.69
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
0%
ORIOLES
100%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
ORIOLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ARI -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
ARI By 1-2 runs
13.6%
ARI By 3-4 runs
18.4%
BAL By 1-2 runs
5.4%
BAL By 3-4 runs
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
6
ARIZONA
Baltimore
1
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
Arizona
3
ARIZONA
Baltimore
5
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Diamondbacks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orioles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Diamondbacks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -5.0
D
Sim
Orioles (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
ARI @ BAL
8 - 5
Apr 14, 2026
ARI @ BAL
4 - 3
Apr 13, 2026
ARI @ BAL
7 - 9
Apr 9, 2025
BAL @ ARI
0 - 9
Apr 8, 2025
BAL @ ARI
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
Baltimore
BAL
162
▲
Games Played
161
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.318
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.720
▲
OPS
.711
166
Home Runs
▲
199
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+45.7% more
Arizona: 3.0
vs
Baltimore: 1.7
Runs per Game (Season)
+2.2% more
Arizona: 4.6
vs
Baltimore: 4.5
Batting Avg (Season)
+1.2%
Arizona: 24.6%
vs
Baltimore: 23.4%
OPS (Season)
+0.9%
Arizona: 72.0%
vs
Baltimore: 71.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
6.0
4
BAL Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.7 / 8.7
7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.5
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 8.6
13.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
16.6 / 15.7
11.0 / 15.0
Walks
1.7 / 3.0
1.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
BAL
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
ARI
BAL
ARI
ML
53%
83-73
54%
87-74
57%
90-69
54%
86-74
ATS
61%
95-60-1
57%
91-70
57%
90-68-1
56%
89-71
TTL
54%
81-70-5
52%
80-73-8
51%
78-75-6
49%
73-77-9
Contextual Game News
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Rich Rodriguez's Arizona Legacy: All-Star Team Rekindles Tucson …
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
Yankees Fan Ejected After Interfering with Potential Game-Tying …
Orioles' Centerfield Crisis: Why Byron Buxton Could Be the Answer