KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
6-8 | Road
1
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
5-9 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Matt Strahm
#25 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kenley Jansen
#74 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Strahm | None-None | 4.05 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | None-None | 2.45 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.05
ERA
Ldr 2.45
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
TIGERS
100%
ROYALS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around KC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
KC By 1-2 runs
18.4%
KC By 3-4 runs
19.6%
DET By 1-2 runs
10.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
5.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
8
KANSAS CITY
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Kansas City
4
KANSAS CITY
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Royals (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 13.0
D
Sim
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
DET @ KC
7 - 11
Aug 22, 2026
DET @ KC
1 - 3
Aug 21, 2026
DET @ KC
2 - 5
Jul 26, 2026
KC @ DET
5 - 4
Jul 25, 2026
KC @ DET
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City
KC
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.26
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.247
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.718
OPS
▲
.720
170
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+8.9% more
Kansas City: 3.4
vs
Detroit: 3.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+8.4% more
Kansas City: 8.6
vs
Detroit: 7.9
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.6%
Kansas City: 24.7%
vs
Detroit: 24.1%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+0.2%
Kansas City: 40.2%
vs
Detroit: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
8.0
1
DET Score
5.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.8 / 5.6
4.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.9 / 8.6
4.0 / 2.0
Total Bases
14.6 / 8.6
6.0 / 4.0
Walks
3.1 / 3.4
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
KC
DET
KC
ML
54%
86-73
55%
89-72
54%
87-73
56%
90-70
ATS
64%
101-58
57%
91-70
57%
91-69
58%
93-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
58%
90-64-7
46%
69-81-10
54%
83-70-7
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