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MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

47-22-10  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Apr 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

40-27-12  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
@
Nick Seeler
GOALTENDER

Nick Seeler

#24 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jakub Dobes None-None 4.27 0.840 --
Nick Seeler None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.27 GAA --
0.840 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
0%
📊
FLYERS
100%
CANADIENS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CanadiensMTL (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

Flyers Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

PHI By 1 goal

12.1%

PHI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MONTREAL
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
3
MONTREAL
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canadiens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flyers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Push
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 MTL @ PHI 2 - 4
Dec 16, 2025 PHI @ MTL 4 - 1
Nov 4, 2025 PHI @ MTL 5 - 4
Apr 5, 2025 PHI @ MTL 2 - 3
Mar 27, 2025 MTL @ PHI 4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +27.1% more
Montreal: 29.7 vs Philadelphia: 21.7
Blocked Shots (L5) +24.9% more
Montreal: 19.6 vs Philadelphia: 14.7
Faceoff % (L5) +5.6%
Montreal: 52.9% vs Philadelphia: 47.2%
Power Play % (L5) +18.1%
Philadelphia: 20.4% vs Montreal: 2.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MTL Score 3.0 2
PHI Score 2.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
49%MONEY51%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MTL
PHI
MTL
ML
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
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