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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

52-16-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Apr 14 • 9:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

32-37-9  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Mackenzie Blackwood
GOALTENDER

Mackenzie Blackwood

#39 | Goaltender
@
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Mackenzie Blackwood None-None 1.01 0.968 --
Dustin Wolf None-None 2.02 0.946 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.01 Ldr GAA 2.02
0.968 Ldr Save % 0.946
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
AVALANCHE --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Calgary)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

6.7%

Flames Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

COL By 1 goal

2.8%

COL By 2-3 goals

1.2%

CGY By 1 goal

12.1%

CGY By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
COLORADO
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
2
COLORADO
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 8, 2026 COL @ CGY 7 - 3
Apr 14, 2026 COL @ CGY 3 - 1
Apr 9, 2026 CGY @ COL 1 - 3
Mar 30, 2026 CGY @ COL 2 - 9
Mar 31, 2025 CGY @ COL 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +33.3% more
Calgary: 13.1 vs Colorado: 9.8
Takeaways (L5) +27.0% more
Calgary: 4.8 vs Colorado: 3.8
Faceoff % (L5) +5.7%
Calgary: 59.1% vs Colorado: 53.4%
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.0% more
Colorado: 30.8 vs Calgary: 27.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 1.0 3
CGY Score 4.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
27%MONEY73%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
COL
CGY
COL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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