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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

51-22-6  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Apr 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

40-27-12  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
@
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Brandon Bussi None-None 1.85 0.913 --
Dan Vladar None-None 1.85 0.923 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.85 GAA 1.85
0.913 Save % Ldr 0.923
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
📊
FLYERS
100%
HURRICANES --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

97.7%

Flyers Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1 goal

6.6%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

PHI By 1 goal

0.9%

PHI By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
CAROLINA
1
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 CAR @ PHI 3 - 2
May 9, 2026 CAR @ PHI 3 - 2
May 7, 2026 CAR @ PHI 4 - 1
May 4, 2026 PHI @ CAR 2 - 3
May 2, 2026 PHI @ CAR 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +30.8% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs Philadelphia: 21.7
Takeaways (L5) +11.3% more
Carolina: 4.3 vs Philadelphia: 3.9
Faceoff % (L5) +5.9%
Carolina: 53.1% vs Philadelphia: 47.2%
Blocked Shots (L5) +35.1% more
Philadelphia: 14.7 vs Carolina: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 5.0 2
PHI Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
77%MONEY23%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CAR
PHI
CAR
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
ATS
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
TTL
20% 1-4
0% 0-5
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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