Home / NHL Projections NHL / Oilers @ Kings EDM @ LA

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

40-29-10  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Apr 11 • 4:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

33-26-19  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Mathieu Joseph
GOALTENDER

Mathieu Joseph

#21 | Right Wing
@
Anton Forsberg
GOALTENDER

Anton Forsberg

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Mathieu Joseph None-None -- -- --
Anton Forsberg None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 0.00
-- Save % 1.000
-- SO 1
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
OILERS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

93.3%

Kings Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

12.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

LA By 1 goal

2.8%

LA By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
EDMONTON
1
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
EDMONTON
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oilers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 11, 2026 EDM @ LA 0 - 1
Feb 26, 2026 EDM @ LA 8 - 1
Jan 10, 2026 LA @ EDM 4 - 3
May 1, 2025 LA @ EDM 4 - 6
Apr 29, 2025 EDM @ LA 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +20.2% more
Edmonton: 27.0 vs Los Angeles: 21.6
Shots on Goal (L5) +14.6% more
Edmonton: 30.5 vs Los Angeles: 26.0
Faceoff % (L5) +10.8%
Edmonton: 57.4% vs Los Angeles: 46.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +32.6% more
Los Angeles: 12.1 vs Edmonton: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 4.0 0
LA Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
85%MONEY15%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
EDM
LA
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
100% 3-0
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
TTL
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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