Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Bucks BKN @ MIL

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

20-60  |  Road

108
FINAL
Fri, Apr 10 • 8:00 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BUCKSMIL

31-49  |  Home

125
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
📊
BUCKS
100%
NETS --
BUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 BucksMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

30.9%

Bucks Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

BKN By 1-7 points

27.2%

BKN By 8-14 points

23.0%

MIL By 1-7 points

18.6%

MIL By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
110
BROOKLYN
105
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
110
BROOKLYN
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Nets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bucks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bucks (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Bucks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u217.5 Loss
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim u217.5 Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 BKN @ MIL 108 - 125
Apr 7, 2026 MIL @ BKN 90 - 96
Dec 14, 2025 MIL @ BKN 82 - 127
Nov 29, 2025 BKN @ MIL 99 - 116
Jan 2, 2025 BKN @ MIL 113 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +14.7% more
Brooklyn: 7.6 vs Milwaukee: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
Brooklyn: 77.9% vs Milwaukee: 72.6%
Turnovers (L5) +33.1% more
Milwaukee: 17.5 vs Brooklyn: 13.2
Assists (L5) +18.5% more
Milwaukee: 25.7 vs Brooklyn: 21.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 110.0 108
MIL Score 105.0 125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 30.6 50.0 / 40.0
Assists 25.7 / 21.7 36.0 / 28.0
Blocks 4.7 / 5.1 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 43.4 56.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 72.6 / 77.9 69.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 36.6 44.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.5 / 7.6 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 17.5 / 13.2 17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
MIL Advantage
32-50-0 (39.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN Advantage
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
MIL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
BKN
MIL
BKN
ML
64% 61-35
53% 50-45
60% 49-32
59% 48-34
ATS
68% 65-31
52% 48-44-3
60% 49-32
59% 48-34
TTL
55% 53-43
57% 54-41
100% 81-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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