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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

34-31-12  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Apr 9 • 8:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

33-32-12  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Connor Hellebuyck
GOALTENDER

Connor Hellebuyck

#37 | Goaltender
@
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Connor Hellebuyck None-None 2.00 0.909 --
Jordan Binnington None-None 3.07 0.912 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.07
0.909 Save % Ldr 0.912
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
JETS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (St. Louis)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

2.3%

Blues Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

WPG By 1 goal

0.9%

WPG By 2-3 goals

0.3%

STL By 1 goal

6.6%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
WINNIPEG
5
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
WINNIPEG
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Blues (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 WPG @ STL 3 - 2
Mar 15, 2026 STL @ WPG 2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026 STL @ WPG 1 - 3
Dec 17, 2025 WPG @ STL 0 - 1
May 4, 2025 STL @ WPG 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +85.1% more
St. Louis: 30.8 vs Winnipeg: 16.6
Takeaways (L5) +27.3% more
St. Louis: 4.6 vs Winnipeg: 3.6
Blocked Shots (L5) +57.9% more
Winnipeg: 14.9 vs St. Louis: 6.3
Faceoff % (L5) +30.4%
Winnipeg: 65.1% vs St. Louis: 34.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 1.0 3
STL Score 5.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
36%MONEY64%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
WPG
STL
WPG
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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