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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

32-36-9  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Apr 9 • 9:00 PM ET
Ball Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

51-16-10  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
@
Mackenzie Blackwood
GOALTENDER

Mackenzie Blackwood

#39 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dustin Wolf None-None 2.08 0.950 --
Mackenzie Blackwood None-None 1.00 0.966 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.08 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.950 Save % Ldr 0.966
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
AVALANCHE
100%
FLAMES --
AVALANCHE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Calgary)
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 AvalancheCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

93.3%

Avalanche Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

CGY By 1 goal

12.1%

CGY By 2-3 goals

37.2%

COL By 1 goal

2.8%

COL By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
CALGARY
1
COLORADO
Simulated Score
2
CALGARY
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Avalanche Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flames (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Avalanche (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 COL @ CGY 3 - 1
Apr 9, 2026 CGY @ COL 1 - 3
Mar 30, 2026 CGY @ COL 2 - 9
Mar 31, 2025 CGY @ COL 3 - 2
Mar 14, 2025 COL @ CGY 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +25.0% more
Calgary: 13.1 vs Colorado: 9.8
Hits (L5) +20.3% more
Calgary: 19.0 vs Colorado: 15.2
Takeaways (L5) +14.9% more
Calgary: 5.0 vs Colorado: 4.2
Faceoff % (L5) +5.7%
Calgary: 59.1% vs Colorado: 53.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 4.0 1
COL Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
2%MONEY98%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
57%MONEY43%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
CGY
COL
CGY
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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