AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
NETS
0%
BUCKS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
MIL By 1-7 points
23.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
12.2%
BKN By 1-7 points
26.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Brooklyn
114
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o219.5
Loss
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim
u219.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
BKN @ MIL
108 - 125
Apr 7, 2026
MIL @ BKN
90 - 96
Dec 14, 2025
MIL @ BKN
82 - 127
Nov 29, 2025
BKN @ MIL
99 - 116
Jan 2, 2025
BKN @ MIL
113 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.0% more
Brooklyn: 5.6
vs
Milwaukee: 4.1
Steals (L5)
+28.7% more
Brooklyn: 10.2
vs
Milwaukee: 7.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.0%
Brooklyn: 82.6%
vs
Milwaukee: 72.5%
Rebounding (L5)
+15.6% more
Milwaukee: 40.5
vs
Brooklyn: 34.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
112.0
90
BKN Score
114.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 44.2
35.0 / 33.0
Assists
24.8 / 25.8
18.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.6 / 4.1
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 50.0
44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
82.6 / 72.5
91.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 40.5
32.0 / 44.0
Steals
10.2 / 7.9
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 17.4
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
MIL
BKN
MIL
ML
53%
50-45
64%
61-35
59%
48-34
60%
49-32
ATS
52%
48-44-3
68%
65-31
59%
48-34
60%
49-32
TTL
57%
54-41
55%
53-43
100%
82-0
100%
81-0