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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

39-26-12  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, Apr 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

40-34-3  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
@
Jonas Siegenthaler
GOALTENDER

Jonas Siegenthaler

#71 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dan Vladar None-None 1.00 0.958 --
Jonas Siegenthaler None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 GAA --
0.958 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
DEVILS
0%
FLYERS --
DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New Jersey)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 DevilsNJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

6.7%

Devils Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)

PHI By 1 goal

2.8%

PHI By 2-3 goals

1.2%

NJ By 1 goal

12.1%

NJ By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
5
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
1
PHILADELPHIA
3
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Devils Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Devils (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Devils (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 1, 2026 PHI @ NJ 2 - 3
Apr 7, 2026 PHI @ NJ 5 - 1
Nov 29, 2025 PHI @ NJ 5 - 3
Nov 22, 2025 NJ @ PHI 3 - 6
Oct 4, 2025 NJ @ PHI 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +55.1% more
New Jersey: 33.6 vs Philadelphia: 21.7
Blocked Shots (L5) +37.5% more
Philadelphia: 14.7 vs New Jersey: 9.2
Hits (L5) +27.9% more
Philadelphia: 25.4 vs New Jersey: 18.3
Power Play % (L5) +20.0%
Philadelphia: 20.4% vs New Jersey: 0.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 2.0 5
NJ Score 5.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
62%MONEY38%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
PHI
NJ
PHI
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
0% 0-2-1
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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