Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Hurricanes BOS @ CAR

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

43-26-9  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, Apr 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

49-22-6  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 10.51 0.792 --
Brandon Bussi None-None 4.90 0.762 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
10.51 GAA Ldr 4.90
0.792 Ldr Save % 0.762
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
BRUINS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

30.9%

Hurricanes Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

BOS By 1 goal

12.1%

BOS By 2-3 goals

9.3%

CAR By 1 goal

19.7%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BOSTON
4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
1
BOSTON
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 7, 2026 BOS @ CAR 5 - 6
Nov 17, 2025 CAR @ BOS 3 - 1
Nov 1, 2025 CAR @ BOS 1 - 2
Apr 5, 2025 CAR @ BOS 1 - 5
Mar 6, 2025 BOS @ CAR 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +39.3% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs Boston: 22.5
Hits (L5) +26.0% more
Carolina: 23.6 vs Boston: 18.7
Power Play % (L5) +19.0%
Carolina: 20.5% vs Boston: 1.5%
Takeaways (L5) +12.0% more
Carolina: 4.4 vs Boston: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 3.0 5
CAR Score 4.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
39%MONEY61%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
BOS
CAR
BOS
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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