Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Blue Jays LAD @ TOR

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

7-2  |  Road

14
FINAL
Mon, Apr 6 • 7:07 PM ET
Rogers Centre
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

BLUE JAYSTOR

4-5  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Miguel Rojas
STARTING PITCHER

Miguel Rojas

#72 | Second Base
@
Spencer Miles
STARTING PITCHER

Spencer Miles

#62 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Miguel Rojas None-None 9.00 -- 1.0 --
Spencer Miles None-None 6.35 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
9.00 ERA Ldr 6.35
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
100%
📊
BLUE JAYS
0%
DODGERS --
BLUE JAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Toronto)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 Blue JaysTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

40.1%

Blue Jays Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.6%

TOR By 1-2 runs

19.6%

TOR By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2
LOS ANGELES
3
TORONTO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
7
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Jays Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jays Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Jays (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Blue Jays (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim o9.0 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 LAD @ TOR 3 - 4
Apr 7, 2026 LAD @ TOR 4 - 1
Apr 6, 2026 LAD @ TOR 14 - 2
Nov 1, 2025 LAD @ TOR 5 - 4
Oct 31, 2025 LAD @ TOR 3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Toronto TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.762 ▲
OPS
.692
204 ▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +50.0% more
Toronto: 0.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5) +9.1% more
Toronto: 8.9 vs Los Angeles: 8.2
Home Runs (L5) +69.9% more
Los Angeles: 2.3 vs Toronto: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +52.5% more
Los Angeles: 20.6 vs Toronto: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 2.0 14
TOR Score 3.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.1 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.1 / 11.7 5.0 / 17.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 2.3 0.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts 8.9 / 8.2 8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 9.8 / 20.6 6.0 / 34.0
Walks 3.6 / 3.8 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
TOR
79-83-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
TOR Advantage
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
LAD
TOR
LAD
ML
46% 74-87
56% 92-73
50% 80-80
48% 79-87
ATS
56% 90-71
59% 98-67
49% 79-81
43% 72-94
TTL
51% 80-76-5
48% 77-82-6
45% 70-85-5
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
cbssports 0 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 4 hours, 6 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 9 hours, 56 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 16 hours, 2 minutes ago
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
newsweek 21 hours, 43 minutes ago