TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
4-4 | Road
0
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
3-5 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Spencer Miles
#62 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Chris Murphy
#38 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Miles | None-None | 5.79 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
| Chris Murphy | None-None | 10.13 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.79 Ldr
ERA
10.13
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
100%
WHITE SOX
0%
BLUE JAYS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
TOR By 1-2 runs
16.3%
TOR By 3-4 runs
10.6%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
CHW @ TOR
3 - 0
Jul 18, 2026
CHW @ TOR
0 - 1
Jul 17, 2026
CHW @ TOR
12 - 4
Apr 5, 2026
TOR @ CHW
0 - 3
Apr 4, 2026
TOR @ CHW
3 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Toronto
TOR
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.00
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.381
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.692
OPS
▲
.826
152
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+50.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Toronto: 4.0
Errors (L5)
+16.0% more
Chicago: 1.1
vs
Toronto: 0.9
OPS (Season)
+13.4%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Toronto: 69.2%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+10.5%
Chicago: 41.5%
vs
Toronto: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
4.0
0
CHW Score
5.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.3 / 7.7
8.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
6.6 / 10.3
9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
11.6 / 11.7
12.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.8 / 3.4
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
TOR
CHW
TOR
ML
49%
81-86
46%
74-87
56%
94-73
50%
80-80
ATS
59%
99-68
56%
90-71
56%
93-74
49%
79-81
TTL
58%
96-69-2
51%
80-76-5
51%
84-81-2
45%
70-85-5
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