Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Hurricane @ Tigers TLSA @ AUB

TULSA

GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA

30-7  |  Road

86
FINAL
Sun, Apr 5 • 8:00 PM ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

AUBURN

TIGERSAUB

21-16  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
GOLDEN HURRICANE --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
AUBURN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Auburn)
Golden HurricaneTLSA (-3.5) 0 TigersAUB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Hurricane Cover

18.4%

Tigers Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AUB -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AUB)

TLSA By 1-7 points

12.2%

TLSA By 8-14 points

4.0%

AUB By 1-7 points

24.3%

AUB By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
71
TULSA
80
AUBURN
Simulated Score
68
TULSA
82
AUBURN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 TLSA @ AUB 86 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +25.1% more
Auburn: 8.5 vs Tulsa: 6.8
Field Goal % (L5) +10.1%
Auburn: 51.0% vs Tulsa: 40.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
Auburn: 39.9% vs Tulsa: 37.2%
Turnovers (L5) +27.1% more
Tulsa: 12.4 vs Auburn: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score 71.0 86
AUB Score 80.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.9 / 37.2 41.0 / 23.0
Assists 15.2 / 15.0 19.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.6 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 51.0 / 40.8 45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 71.7 / 76.7 75.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 41.3 39.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.5 / 6.8 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.0 / 12.4 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA Advantage
30-8-0 (79.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
AUB
22-16-0 (57.9%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA Advantage
20-15-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
AUB
15-23-0 (39.5%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +4.8
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AUB
TLSA
AUB
TLSA
ML
58% 22-16
66% 25-13
75% 24-8
64% 23-13
ATS
74% 28-10
74% 28-10
75% 24-8
64% 23-13
TTL
53% 20-18
58% 22-16
100% 32-0
100% 36-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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