TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
4-3 | Road
3
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
2-5 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Braydon Fisher
#63 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Newcomb
#15 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braydon Fisher | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Sean Newcomb | None-None | 4.50 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
4.50
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
0%
WHITE SOX
100%
BLUE JAYS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TOR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TOR By 3-4 runs
18.4%
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
White Sox (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
CHW @ TOR
3 - 0
Jul 18, 2026
CHW @ TOR
0 - 1
Jul 17, 2026
CHW @ TOR
12 - 4
Apr 5, 2026
TOR @ CHW
0 - 3
Apr 4, 2026
TOR @ CHW
3 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Toronto
TOR
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.00
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.381
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.692
OPS
▲
.826
152
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.3% more
Toronto: 152.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+40.8% more
Toronto: 1.0
vs
Chicago: 0.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+29.0% more
Toronto: 12.5
vs
Chicago: 8.9
Total Bases (L5)
+24.7% more
Toronto: 13.1
vs
Chicago: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
4.0
3
CHW Score
2.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.5 / 8.5
7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.0
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 12.5
2.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
9.8 / 13.1
15.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.2 / 3.1
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
TOR
CHW
TOR
ML
49%
81-86
46%
74-87
56%
94-73
50%
80-80
ATS
59%
99-68
56%
90-71
56%
93-74
49%
79-81
TTL
58%
96-69-2
51%
80-76-5
51%
84-81-2
45%
70-85-5
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