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VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

34-26-16  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Apr 4 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

39-28-9  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Carter Hart
GOALTENDER

Carter Hart

#79 | Goaltender
@
Jake Walman
GOALTENDER

Jake Walman

#96 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Carter Hart None-None 1.00 0.969 --
Jake Walman None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 GAA --
0.969 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Edmonton)
Golden KnightsVGK (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Knights Cover

6.7%

Oilers Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

VGK By 1 goal

2.8%

VGK By 2-3 goals

1.2%

EDM By 1 goal

12.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
VEGAS
4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
3
VEGAS
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Oilers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 VGK @ EDM 5 - 1
Mar 26, 2026 EDM @ VGK 4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025 VGK @ EDM 3 - 4
May 14, 2025 EDM @ VGK 1 - 0
May 12, 2025 VGK @ EDM 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +13.2% more
Edmonton: 30.5 vs Vegas: 26.9
Faceoff % (L5) +4.1%
Edmonton: 57.4% vs Vegas: 53.3%
Power Play % (L5) +2.1%
Edmonton: 24.7% vs Vegas: 22.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +36.8% more
Vegas: 14.5 vs Edmonton: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VGK Score 1.0 5
EDM Score 4.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
83%MONEY17%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
VGK
EDM
VGK
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 1 hour ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 7 hours ago
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
yahoo 3 days, 19 hours ago
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers
yardbarker 4 days, 2 hours ago
Canucks Aim to Stun Oilers Again in Home Opener After Overtime T…
yardbarker 1 week ago