Home / NHL Projections NHL / Maple Leafs @ Kings TOR @ LA

TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

32-31-13  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Apr 4 • 7:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

30-26-19  |  Home

7
Goaltending
Troy Stecher
GOALTENDER

Troy Stecher

#28 | Defense
@
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Troy Stecher None-None -- -- --
Darcy Kuemper None-None 5.76 0.700 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 5.76
-- Save % 0.700
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
MAPLE LEAFS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Maple LeafsTOR (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Maple Leafs Cover

30.9%

Kings Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

TOR By 1 goal

19.7%

TOR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

LA By 1 goal

12.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
TORONTO
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
TORONTO
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Maple Leafs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 TOR @ LA 6 - 7
Nov 13, 2025 LA @ TOR 4 - 3
Mar 29, 2025 TOR @ LA 3 - 1
Oct 16, 2024 LA @ TOR 2 - 6
Jan 2, 2024 TOR @ LA 3 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +56.1% more
Toronto: 27.6 vs Los Angeles: 12.1
Takeaways (L5) +38.6% more
Toronto: 5.4 vs Los Angeles: 3.3
Faceoff % (L5) +6.1%
Toronto: 52.8% vs Los Angeles: 46.6%
Power Play % (L5) +47.0%
Los Angeles: 48.3% vs Toronto: 1.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 3.0 6
LA Score 2.0 7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
47%MONEY53%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
TOR
LA
TOR
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
100% 3-0
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
TTL
0% 0-3
100% 4-0
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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