MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
46-30 | Road
103
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
42-34 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
76ERS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
MIN By 1-7 points
23.0%
MIN By 8-14 points
12.2%
PHI By 1-7 points
26.8%
PHI By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
117
MINNESOTA
Philadelphia
119
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
108
MINNESOTA
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u236.5
Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Sim
u236.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
MIN @ PHI
103 - 115
Feb 22, 2026
PHI @ MIN
135 - 108
Apr 5, 2025
MIN @ PHI
114 - 109
Mar 4, 2025
PHI @ MIN
112 - 126
Oct 11, 2024
PHI @ MIN
111 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.5% more
Philadelphia: 29.7
vs
Minnesota: 25.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.3%
Philadelphia: 81.9%
vs
Minnesota: 73.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
Philadelphia: 51.8%
vs
Minnesota: 44.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
Philadelphia: 41.2%
vs
Minnesota: 34.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
117.0
103
PHI Score
119.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.2 / 34.2
35.0 / 33.0
Assists
29.7 / 25.1
27.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.7 / 7.0
12.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.8 / 44.5
50.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
81.9 / 73.6
86.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
42.9 / 44.7
53.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.2 / 8.5
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 14.1
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MIN
PHI
MIN
ML
63%
69-40
54%
63-53
48%
45-48
54%
50-43
ATS
65%
71-38
58%
67-49
48%
45-48
54%
50-43
TTL
55%
60-49
63%
72-43-1
100%
93-0
100%
93-0
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