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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

37-26-12  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, Apr 3 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

42-29-5  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dan Vladar None-None 1.00 0.955 --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 4.54 0.810 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 4.54
0.955 Ldr Save % 0.810
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
📊
ISLANDERS
100%
FLYERS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

30.9%

Islanders Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

PHI By 1 goal

19.7%

PHI By 2-3 goals

29.6%

NYI By 1 goal

12.1%

NYI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flyers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Islanders (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 3, 2026 PHI @ NYI 4 - 1
Jan 26, 2026 NYI @ PHI 4 - 0
Nov 28, 2025 PHI @ NYI 4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025 NYI @ PHI 3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025 NYI @ PHI 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +27.9% more
Philadelphia: 28.9 vs New York: 20.8
Power Play % (L5) +16.8%
Philadelphia: 20.4% vs New York: 3.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.5% more
Philadelphia: 14.7 vs New York: 12.3
Takeaways (L5) +14.7% more
New York: 4.8 vs Philadelphia: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 2.0 4
NYI Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
75%MONEY25%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
PHI
NYI
PHI
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
100% 2-0-1
25% 1-3
100% 2-0-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
yardbarker 1 hour, 51 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 35 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours, 35 minutes ago
NFL Trade Shocker: Ravens Land Pro Bowl Lineman Cam Jurgens from…
timesargus 1 day, 1 hour ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago