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COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

38-25-12  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Apr 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

47-21-6  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Elvis Merzlikins
GOALTENDER

Elvis Merzlikins

#90 | G
@
Sean Walker
GOALTENDER

Sean Walker

#26 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Elvis Merzlikins None-None 5.01 0.762 --
Sean Walker None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.01 GAA --
0.762 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
BLUE JACKETS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Carolina)
Blue JacketsCBJ (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Jackets Cover

6.7%

Hurricanes Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CBJ By 1 goal

2.8%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

1.2%

CAR By 1 goal

12.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
COLUMBUS
4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
4
COLUMBUS
2
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jackets Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Blue Jackets (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 CBJ @ CAR 1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026 CAR @ CBJ 5 - 2
Mar 17, 2026 CAR @ CBJ 1 - 5
Dec 9, 2025 CBJ @ CAR 1 - 4
Jan 23, 2025 CBJ @ CAR 4 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +31.0% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs Columbus: 23.9
Power Play % (L5) +6.3%
Carolina: 20.5% vs Columbus: 14.2%
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.7% more
Columbus: 12.4 vs Carolina: 10.9
Faceoff % (L5) +2.2%
Columbus: 55.4% vs Carolina: 53.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score 1.0 1
CAR Score 4.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
39%MONEY61%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
CBJ
CAR
CBJ
ML
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
40% 2-3
100% 2-0
ATS
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
TTL
0% 0-5
50% 1-1
20% 1-4
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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