TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
4-1 | Road
3
BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
2-3 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Latz
#67 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Albert Suarez
#49 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Latz | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Albert Suarez | None-None | 3.00 | -- | 3.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
3.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 3.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
ORIOLES
100%
RANGERS
--
ORIOLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around BAL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TEX By 3-4 runs
16.3%
BAL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
BAL By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
3
TEXAS
Baltimore
2
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
Baltimore
6
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orioles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Orioles (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim
Orioles (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
BAL @ TEX
10 - 5
Aug 8, 2026
BAL @ TEX
1 - 5
Aug 7, 2026
BAL @ TEX
1 - 2
Apr 1, 2026
TEX @ BAL
3 - 8
Mar 31, 2026
TEX @ BAL
8 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Baltimore
BAL
162
▲
Games Played
161
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.396
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.713
▲
OPS
.711
183
Home Runs
▲
199
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+45.8% more
Texas: 1.7
vs
Baltimore: 0.9
Total Bases (L5)
+29.7% more
Texas: 17.3
vs
Baltimore: 12.2
Hits (L5)
+21.0% more
Texas: 9.9
vs
Baltimore: 7.8
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.8%
Texas: 24.2%
vs
Baltimore: 23.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
3.0
3
BAL Score
2.0
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.8 / 9.9
12.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.7
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.7 / 10.5
5.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
12.2 / 17.3
20.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.9 / 2.5
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
BAL
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
TEX
BAL
TEX
ML
53%
83-73
53%
86-76
57%
90-69
57%
91-70
ATS
61%
95-60-1
57%
92-70
57%
90-68-1
61%
98-63
TTL
54%
81-70-5
53%
78-70-14
51%
78-75-6
55%
81-66-14
Contextual Game News
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