Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Wizards PHI @ WSH

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

41-34  |  Road

153
FINAL
Wed, Apr 1 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

17-58  |  Home

131
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
WIZARDS
100%
76ERS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
246.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+10.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

15.9%

Wizards Cover

84.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WSH +10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

PHI By 1-7 points

23.0%

PHI By 8-14 points

27.2%

WSH By 1-7 points

10.7%

WSH By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
128
PHILADELPHIA
118
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
105
PHILADELPHIA
118
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wizards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wizards (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: +10.0
D
Sim Wizards (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o238.5 Win
Proj Total: 246.0
D
Sim u238.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 PHI @ WSH 153 - 131
Jan 7, 2026 WSH @ PHI 110 - 131
Dec 2, 2025 WSH @ PHI 102 - 121
Oct 28, 2025 PHI @ WSH 139 - 134
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ WSH 122 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +52.2% more
Philadelphia: 6.0 vs Washington: 2.9
Rebounding (L5) +14.6% more
Philadelphia: 43.8 vs Washington: 37.4
Assists (L5) +9.1% more
Philadelphia: 26.1 vs Washington: 23.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.4%
Philadelphia: 37.4% vs Washington: 29.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 128.0 153
WSH Score 118.0 131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.9 / 37.4 40.0 / 49.0
Assists 23.7 / 26.1 32.0 / 37.0
Blocks 2.9 / 6.0 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 46.7 52.0 / 62.0
Free Throw % 76.8 / 78.8 88.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 43.8 32.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.8 / 6.3 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 11.0 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
PHI
WSH
PHI
ML
70% 112-49
63% 69-40
47% 39-44
48% 45-48
ATS
69% 111-49-1
65% 71-38
47% 39-44
48% 45-48
TTL
74% 119-41-1
55% 60-49
100% 83-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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