Home / NHL Projections NHL / Blues @ Kings STL @ LA

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

31-31-11  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Apr 1 • 9:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

29-26-18  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
@
Anton Forsberg
GOALTENDER

Anton Forsberg

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jordan Binnington None-None 1.94 0.923 --
Anton Forsberg None-None 0.97 0.958 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.94 GAA Ldr 0.97
0.923 Save % Ldr 0.958
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
BLUES --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (St. Louis)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

84.1%

Kings Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1 goal

17.5%

STL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

LA By 1 goal

6.6%

LA By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ST. LOUIS
1
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 STL @ LA 1 - 2
Jan 24, 2026 LA @ STL 5 - 4
Oct 21, 2025 LA @ STL 2 - 1
Mar 8, 2025 STL @ LA 1 - 2
Mar 5, 2025 STL @ LA 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +15.4% more
St. Louis: 30.8 vs Los Angeles: 26.0
Blocked Shots (L5) +93.2% more
Los Angeles: 12.1 vs St. Louis: 6.3
Hits (L5) +61.0% more
Los Angeles: 28.1 vs St. Louis: 17.4
Power Play % (L5) +46.9%
Los Angeles: 48.3% vs St. Louis: 1.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 3.0 1
LA Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
51%MONEY49%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
STL
LA
STL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
0% 0-3
50% 1-1-1
0% 0-3
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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