COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
1-3 | Road
1
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
3-1 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Zach Agnos
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Braydon Fisher
#63 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Agnos | None-None | 8.10 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
| Braydon Fisher | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
8.10
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.1
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
100%
BLUE JAYS
0%
ROCKIES
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
COL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
10.6%
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TOR By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Toronto
7
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Blue Jays (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
COL @ TOR
2 - 1
Mar 31, 2026
COL @ TOR
1 - 5
Mar 30, 2026
COL @ TOR
14 - 5
Aug 6, 2025
TOR @ COL
20 - 1
Aug 5, 2025
TOR @ COL
10 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Toronto
TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.739
▲
OPS
.692
180
▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+103.5% more
Toronto: 2.3
vs
Colorado: 1.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+71.2% more
Toronto: 12.9
vs
Colorado: 7.5
Errors (L5)
+43.0% more
Toronto: 0.7
vs
Colorado: 0.2
Home Runs (Season)
+15.6% more
Colorado: 180.0
vs
Toronto: 152.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.0
1
TOR Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.6 / 9.7
14.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
2.3 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
12.9 / 7.5
6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
16.7 / 16.4
15.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.4 / 3.5
1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
COL
TOR
COL
ML
46%
74-87
60%
97-64
50%
80-80
55%
88-73
ATS
56%
90-71
60%
97-64
49%
79-81
52%
83-78
TTL
51%
80-76-5
60%
93-62-6
45%
70-85-5
50%
77-78-6
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
Rays Sweep Yankees as Fan Interference Call Erases Volpe's Would…
Yankees Denied by Replay as Fan Interference Echoes Jeffrey Maie…