CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
0-3 | Road
9
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
3-0 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jordan Hicks
#44 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Michael Petersen
#49 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hicks | None-None | 11.57 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
| Michael Petersen | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
11.57
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
1.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
MARLINS
0%
WHITE SOX
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.6%
MIA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Miami
4
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Miami
5
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Marlins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Marlins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Marlins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Marlins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
CHW @ MIA
0 - 10
Mar 31, 2026
CHW @ MIA
2 - 9
Mar 30, 2026
CHW @ MIA
9 - 4
May 11, 2025
MIA @ CHW
2 - 4
May 10, 2025
MIA @ CHW
3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Miami
MIA
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.41
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.249
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.326
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826
▲
OPS
.727
1
Home Runs
▲
168
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+16700.0% more
Miami: 168.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+62.0% more
Miami: 1.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Home Runs (L5)
+68.9% more
Chicago: 2.1
vs
Miami: 0.7
Walks (L5)
+53.8% more
Chicago: 5.7
vs
Miami: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.0
9
MIA Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.1 / 7.8
8.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 2.1
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
10.3 / 9.8
10.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
12.5 / 15.3
15.0 / 16.0
Walks
2.6 / 5.7
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
CHW
MIA
CHW
ML
48%
78-84
49%
81-86
55%
88-72
56%
94-73
ATS
56%
91-71
59%
99-68
54%
86-74
56%
93-74
TTL
56%
88-69-5
58%
96-69-2
53%
82-73-5
51%
84-81-2
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