Home / NBA Projections NBA / Wizards @ Lakers WSH @ LAL

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

17-57  |  Road

101
FINAL
Mon, Mar 30 • 10:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

48-26  |  Home

120
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
WIZARDS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Los Angeles)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

18.4%

Lakers Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

WSH By 1-7 points

12.2%

WSH By 8-14 points

4.0%

LAL By 1-7 points

24.3%

LAL By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
111
WASHINGTON
120
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
109
WASHINGTON
121
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lakers (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u236.5 Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim u236.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 30, 2026 WSH @ LAL 101 - 120
Jan 30, 2026 LAL @ WSH 142 - 111
Jan 30, 2025 LAL @ WSH 134 - 96
Jan 21, 2025 WSH @ LAL 88 - 111
Apr 3, 2024 LAL @ WSH 125 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +86.8% more
Los Angeles: 6.2 vs Washington: 3.3
Steals (L5) +30.4% more
Los Angeles: 10.0 vs Washington: 7.7
Rebounding (L5) +8.0% more
Los Angeles: 42.8 vs Washington: 39.6
Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Los Angeles: 52.5% vs Washington: 46.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 111.0 101
LAL Score 120.0 120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.8 / 34.9 29.0 / 20.0
Assists 23.6 / 23.0 29.0 / 25.0
Blocks 6.2 / 3.3 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 52.5 / 46.1 56.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 74.6 / 77.7 78.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 42.8 / 39.6 48.0 / 33.0
Steals 10.0 / 7.7 7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 15.4 15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
WSH
LAL
WSH
ML
61% 68-43
70% 112-49
54% 49-42
47% 39-44
ATS
61% 67-43-1
69% 111-49-1
54% 49-42
47% 39-44
TTL
61% 66-43-2
74% 119-41-1
100% 91-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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