MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
45-29 | Road
124
DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
24-50 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
MAVERICKS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
MIN By 1-7 points
24.3%
MIN By 8-14 points
13.7%
DAL By 1-7 points
26.2%
DAL By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
114
MINNESOTA
Dallas
115
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
111
MINNESOTA
Dallas
115
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mavericks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks (+8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Mavericks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u236.5
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Sim
u236.5
Win
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 30, 2026
MIN @ DAL
124 - 94
Feb 20, 2026
DAL @ MIN
111 - 122
Jan 28, 2026
MIN @ DAL
118 - 105
Nov 17, 2025
DAL @ MIN
96 - 120
Jan 22, 2025
MIN @ DAL
115 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+20.2% more
Dallas: 28.2
vs
Minnesota: 23.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Dallas: 48.2%
vs
Minnesota: 40.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Dallas: 34.9%
vs
Minnesota: 31.2%
Blocks (L5)
+35.8% more
Minnesota: 6.7
vs
Dallas: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
114.0
124
DAL Score
115.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 31.2
24.0 / 45.0
Assists
28.2 / 23.4
21.0 / 33.0
Blocks
4.3 / 6.7
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 40.6
35.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
73.7 / 75.1
74.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
39.2 / 45.0
53.0 / 51.0
Steals
8.8 / 9.1
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 15.7
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
MIN
DAL
MIN
ML
62%
63-39
54%
63-53
54%
44-37
54%
50-43
ATS
67%
68-34
58%
67-49
54%
44-37
54%
50-43
TTL
59%
60-41-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
81-0
100%
93-0
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