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TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

31-30-13  |  Road

5
FINAL
Mon, Mar 30 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

41-28-4  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Anthony Stolarz
GOALTENDER

Anthony Stolarz

#41 | Goaltender
@
Ville Husso
GOALTENDER

Ville Husso

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Anthony Stolarz None-None 3.71 0.875 --
Ville Husso None-None 4.62 0.828 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.71 Ldr GAA 4.62
0.875 Ldr Save % 0.828
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
Maple LeafsTOR (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Maple Leafs Cover

30.9%

Ducks Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

TOR By 1 goal

12.1%

TOR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

ANA By 1 goal

19.7%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
TORONTO
3
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
TORONTO
5
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ducks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ducks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 30, 2026 TOR @ ANA 5 - 4
Mar 12, 2026 ANA @ TOR 4 - 6
Mar 30, 2025 TOR @ ANA 3 - 2
Dec 12, 2024 ANA @ TOR 2 - 3
Feb 17, 2024 ANA @ TOR 2 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +24.5% more
Anaheim: 6.2 vs Toronto: 5.0
Blocked Shots (L5) +45.7% more
Toronto: 27.6 vs Anaheim: 15.0
Hits (L5) +15.1% more
Toronto: 22.5 vs Anaheim: 19.1
Faceoff % (L5) +5.4%
Toronto: 52.8% vs Anaheim: 47.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 2.0 5
ANA Score 3.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
91%MONEY9%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
TOR
ANA
TOR
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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